Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Shore 52.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 68.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 73.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 53.4%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Beagle
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Beagle
Shore
Last 5: Beagle 2-3 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Shore
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
0
2
Beagle
Shore
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (284)
55.2% (221)
+2.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (10)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (97)
0.0% (5)
+52.6%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Beagle is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Beagle shoots right. Shore is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Beagle
Shore
Home
57.9% (183)
54.2% (96)
Away
55.2% (201)
53.6% (140)
By Period
Beagle
Shore
P1
54.7%
52.7%
P2
62.1%
55.0%
P3
50.9%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |