Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Shore on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Shore 54.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 73.4%
Defensive zone
Shore 84.0%
Neutral zone
Shore 64.7%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Toews
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Toews
Shore
Last 7: Toews 2-5 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Shore
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
0
4
Toews
Shore
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
0
1
Toews
Shore
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
55.6% (295)
+0.3%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
50.0% (2)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (179)
54.2% (83)
+1.7%
On power play, Toews has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Toews is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (591).
Toews shoots left. Shore is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Toews
Shore
Home
56.6% (709)
57.9% (221)
Away
58.0% (785)
51.6% (159)
By Period
Toews
Shore
P1
60.4%
59.2%
P2
57.6%
43.5%
P3
54.3%
62.1%
OT
59.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
58.5%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |