Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 48.0% vs Patrick 50.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 63.1%
Defensive zone
Shore 68.5%
Neutral zone
Shore 53.4%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Shore
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Shore
Patrick
Last 5: Shore 1-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Shore
Patrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
3
Shore
Patrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (643)
50.6% (719)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
50.0% (22)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (80)
50.0% (2)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Shore is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Shore shoots right. Patrick is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Shore
Patrick
Home
50.3% (394)
50.1% (391)
Away
44.8% (344)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Shore
Patrick
P1
48.8%
54.4%
P2
49.2%
49.3%
P3
44.3%
47.5%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.7%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |