Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 50.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 62.3%
Defensive zone
Shore 61.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 51.4%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Shore
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Shore
Stastny
Last 10: Shore 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
7
Shore
Stastny
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
7
5
Shore
Stastny
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
1
0
Shore
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,455)
54.6% (10,616)
-2.8%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
59.1% (1,994)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (297)
52.9% (1,119)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Shore is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,965).
Shore shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Shore
Stastny
Home
52.0% (1,391)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
49.9% (1,425)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Shore
Stastny
P1
50.6%
56.3%
P2
51.2%
55.4%
P3
50.7%
53.5%
OT
73.3%
62.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |