Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 50.2% vs Stastny 55.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 63.9%
Defensive zone
Shore 61.4%
Neutral zone
Shore 60.7%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Shore
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Shore
Stastny
Last 6: Shore 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Shore
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Shore
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (635)
55.4% (1,004)
-3.7%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
59.0% (210)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (69)
54.1% (196)
-15.0%
On power play, Stastny has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Shore is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Shore shoots right. Stastny is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Shore
Stastny
Home
48.2% (332)
56.5% (717)
Away
51.9% (389)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Shore
Stastny
P1
49.1%
56.7%
P2
53.2%
57.7%
P3
47.8%
52.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |