Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 54.8%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Shore wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 54.2% vs Stastny 54.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 82.3%
Defensive zone
Shore 83.3%
Neutral zone
Shore 50.9%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Shore
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Shore
Stastny
Last 8: Shore 4-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Shore
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
4
0
Shore
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (295)
53.6% (859)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
59.9% (202)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (83)
55.1% (78)
-0.9%
On power play, Stastny has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Shore is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Shore shoots right. Stastny is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Shore
Stastny
Home
57.9% (221)
56.9% (596)
Away
51.6% (159)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Shore
Stastny
P1
59.2%
53.9%
P2
43.5%
56.2%
P3
62.1%
54.4%
OT
62.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
60.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
55.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |