Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.7% vs Bjugstad 51.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 69.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 72.4%
Neutral zone
Richards 53.8%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Richards
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Richards
Bjugstad
Last 6: Richards 2-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Richards
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Richards
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (218)
50.4% (752)
-3.2%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
60.6% (104)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
58.3% (12)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Richards is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Richards shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Richards
Bjugstad
Home
52.0% (123)
52.9% (461)
Away
47.2% (127)
50.4% (407)
By Period
Richards
Bjugstad
P1
56.3%
51.5%
P2
42.0%
53.8%
P3
50.6%
49.8%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 29, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |