Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Flynn wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 47.9% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 65.5%
Defensive zone
Flynn 69.8%
Neutral zone
Flynn 54.2%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Flynn
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Flynn
Bjugstad
Last 9: Flynn 3-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Flynn
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Flynn
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
4
Flynn
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (312)
48.3% (937)
+0.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
56.1% (148)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
34.2% (38)
+8.7%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Flynn is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Flynn shoots right. Bjugstad is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (359).
Home / Away
Flynn
Bjugstad
Home
46.4% (168)
50.5% (574)
Away
48.0% (221)
47.2% (549)
By Period
Flynn
Bjugstad
P1
43.3%
52.4%
P2
49.6%
46.8%
P3
49.2%
45.5%
OT
50.0%
78.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |