Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 47.8%). Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 71.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 75.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 66.7%
Result
David Krejci favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Krejci
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Krejci
Bjugstad
Last 7: Krejci 6-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
4
0
Krejci
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
49.4% (867)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
56.0% (25)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
40.7% (216)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Krejci is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Krejci shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Krejci
Bjugstad
Home
52.0% (381)
46.5% (480)
Away
42.6% (359)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Krejci
Bjugstad
P1
47.2%
48.7%
P2
43.7%
45.6%
P3
51.9%
49.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |