Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gambrell wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 44.6% vs Bjugstad 47.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 68.2%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 60.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 60.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Gambrell
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gambrell
Bjugstad
Last 5: Gambrell 4-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
0
Gambrell
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Gambrell
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gambrell
3
0
Gambrell
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (500)
45.8% (238)
-1.2%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
50.0% (30)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (129)
50.0% (2)
-8.9%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Gambrell is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Gambrell shoots right. Bjugstad is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Bjugstad
Home
41.6% (363)
48.9% (133)
Away
46.7% (274)
43.8% (137)
By Period
Gambrell
Bjugstad
P1
42.2%
50.0%
P2
46.2%
40.6%
P3
43.8%
49.4%
Final 5 min
39.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |