Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 16-1 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 97.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 79.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 88.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Miller
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
1
(17 meetings)
16
1
Miller
Bjugstad
Last 10: Miller 9-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
0
Miller
Bjugstad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
1
Miller
Bjugstad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
50.7% (906)
+5.6%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
48.1% (108)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
44.4% (239)
+3.0%
On power play, Miller has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Miller
Bjugstad
Home
58.6% (734)
49.8% (643)
Away
54.1% (727)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Miller
Bjugstad
P1
57.1%
49.4%
P2
57.0%
50.5%
P3
54.7%
47.9%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |