Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 86.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 80.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 85.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 84.6%
15.4%
84.6%
Miller
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Miller
Bjugstad
Last 5: Miller 1-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Miller
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Miller
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
46.7% (398)
+11.5%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
51.6% (31)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
62.5% (8)
-3.6%
On even strength, Miller has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Miller is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Miller shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Miller
Bjugstad
Home
59.1% (558)
47.3% (220)
Away
57.3% (520)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Miller
Bjugstad
P1
60.7%
46.1%
P2
57.5%
46.3%
P3
56.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
60.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |