Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kirkland on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kirkland 46.0% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 62.7%
Defensive zone
Kirkland 60.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Kirkland
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kirkland
Bjugstad
Last 8: Kirkland 4-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Kirkland
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kirkland
3
0
Kirkland
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Kirkland
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kirkland
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (113)
46.7% (398)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
23.1% (13)
62.5% (8)
-39.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kirkland is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Kirkland shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Kirkland
Bjugstad
Home
42.5% (73)
47.3% (220)
Away
43.4% (53)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Kirkland
Bjugstad
P1
55.0%
46.1%
P2
44.9%
46.3%
P3
27.0%
50.4%
Final 5 min
36.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kirkland
44.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |