Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.9%). Look for Brodziak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brodziak wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 48.4% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 73.2%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 77.1%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 54.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Brodziak
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Brodziak
Bjugstad
Last 6: Brodziak 5-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brodziak
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
0
Brodziak
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
0
Brodziak
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (994)
48.3% (937)
+0.9%
Power Play
70.4% (27)
56.1% (148)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (202)
34.2% (38)
+6.4%
On power play, Brodziak has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Brodziak is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Brodziak shoots right. Bjugstad is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (359).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Bjugstad
Home
49.6% (593)
50.5% (574)
Away
47.0% (630)
47.2% (549)
By Period
Brodziak
Bjugstad
P1
48.2%
52.4%
P2
46.3%
46.8%
P3
51.3%
45.5%
OT
23.5%
78.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |