Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.9%). Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Foligno wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.9% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 53.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 52.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 52.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Foligno
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Foligno
Bjugstad
Last 5: Foligno 2-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Foligno
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Foligno
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (258)
48.3% (937)
-1.4%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
56.1% (148)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
34.2% (38)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Foligno is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Foligno shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Foligno
Bjugstad
Home
43.4% (143)
50.5% (574)
Away
53.2% (158)
47.2% (549)
By Period
Foligno
Bjugstad
P1
46.7%
52.4%
P2
53.1%
46.8%
P3
45.2%
45.5%
OT
57.1%
78.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
48.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:41 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |