Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 52.9% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 86.4%
Defensive zone
Kruger 58.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 66.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Kruger
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kruger
Bjugstad
Last 5: Kruger 1-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
4
Kruger
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
1
0
Kruger
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (509)
47.3% (806)
+7.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.0% (149)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (158)
59.0% (39)
-9.6%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kruger is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Kruger shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Kruger
Bjugstad
Home
53.4% (328)
55.4% (446)
Away
53.2% (342)
43.6% (548)
By Period
Kruger
Bjugstad
P1
55.0%
49.4%
P2
53.1%
48.1%
P3
51.0%
48.6%
OT
75.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |