Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 47.0%). Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.3% vs Marleau 47.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 58.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 53.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.2%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Bjugstad
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Bjugstad
Marleau
Last 9: Bjugstad 4-5 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
3
Bjugstad
Marleau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
2
Bjugstad
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (238)
46.0% (274)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
57.1% (14)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Bjugstad shoots right. Marleau is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Marleau
Home
48.9% (133)
46.9% (209)
Away
43.8% (137)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Bjugstad
Marleau
P1
50.0%
51.0%
P2
40.6%
47.1%
P3
49.4%
43.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.3%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |