Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 70.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 92.1%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 75.7%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Bjugstad
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Bjugstad
Gaustad
Last 10: Bjugstad 5-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
9
0
Bjugstad
Gaustad
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
8
Bjugstad
Gaustad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
58.2% (4,334)
-9.6%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
65.4% (188)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
54.8% (1,290)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Bjugstad shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Gaustad
Home
49.8% (4,020)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Bjugstad
Gaustad
P1
49.0%
58.2%
P2
49.1%
56.4%
P3
48.4%
58.3%
OT
61.3%
66.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |