Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 59.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 95.3%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 87.1%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Bjugstad
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bjugstad
Gaustad
Last 6: Bjugstad 4-2 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
0
Bjugstad
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Bjugstad
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (937)
59.3% (913)
-11.0%
Power Play
56.1% (148)
72.2% (18)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (38)
52.8% (269)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Bjugstad shoots right. Gaustad is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Gaustad
Home
50.5% (574)
58.6% (604)
Away
47.2% (549)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Bjugstad
Gaustad
P1
52.4%
61.5%
P2
46.8%
55.7%
P3
45.5%
56.6%
OT
78.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |