Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fabbri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Fabbri 47.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 79.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 67.3%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 58.4%
Result
Robby Fabbri favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Bjugstad
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bjugstad
Fabbri
Last 5: Bjugstad 1-4 Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
4
Bjugstad
Fabbri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Fabbri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
45.4% (531)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
53.0% (168)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
42.9% (28)
+1.4%
On even strength, Bjugstad has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Bjugstad shoots right. Fabbri is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Fabbri
Home
49.8% (4,020)
48.6% (368)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
45.4% (359)
By Period
Bjugstad
Fabbri
P1
49.0%
44.1%
P2
49.1%
49.0%
P3
48.4%
48.2%
OT
61.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |