Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.3% vs Getzlaf 51.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 61.5%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 67.2%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 61.0%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Bjugstad
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bjugstad
Getzlaf
Last 5: Bjugstad 3-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Bjugstad
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (238)
52.2% (542)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
50.7% (75)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.2% (59)
+0.8%
On even strength, Getzlaf has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Bjugstad is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Bjugstad shoots right. Getzlaf is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Getzlaf
Home
48.9% (133)
52.3% (333)
Away
43.8% (137)
51.3% (343)
By Period
Bjugstad
Getzlaf
P1
50.0%
55.5%
P2
40.6%
45.6%
P3
49.4%
53.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
46.3%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |