Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bjugstad wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Kesler 56.0% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 80.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 85.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 78.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Bjugstad
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Bjugstad
Kesler
Last 10: Bjugstad 0-10 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
5
Bjugstad
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
6
Bjugstad
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (806)
57.4% (1,185)
-10.1%
Power Play
55.0% (149)
58.0% (243)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
59.0% (39)
49.2% (236)
+9.8%
On even strength, Kesler has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Bjugstad shoots right. Kesler is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Kesler
Home
55.4% (446)
58.5% (793)
Away
43.6% (548)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Bjugstad
Kesler
P1
49.4%
57.0%
P2
48.1%
55.4%
P3
48.6%
56.7%
OT
61.1%
54.8%
Final 5 min
48.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |