Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Koivu 50.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 73.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 50.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Bjugstad
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Bjugstad
Koivu
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Bjugstad
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
5
Bjugstad
Koivu
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
4
2
Bjugstad
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (937)
50.4% (912)
-2.1%
Power Play
56.1% (148)
59.1% (44)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (38)
46.8% (111)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Bjugstad shoots right. Koivu is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Koivu
Home
50.5% (574)
51.5% (610)
Away
47.2% (549)
49.0% (457)
By Period
Bjugstad
Koivu
P1
52.4%
48.5%
P2
46.8%
51.5%
P3
45.5%
51.1%
OT
78.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 00:15 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |