Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Ott 55.4% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 61.7%
Defensive zone
Ott 60.6%
Neutral zone
Ott 51.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Bjugstad
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Bjugstad
Ott
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
7
2
Bjugstad
Ott
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
4
Bjugstad
Ott
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
3
Bjugstad
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
57.2% (2,802)
-8.6%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
55.4% (567)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
49.9% (853)
-5.6%
On even strength, Ott has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Bjugstad shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Ott
Home
49.8% (4,020)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Bjugstad
Ott
P1
49.0%
56.7%
P2
49.1%
53.9%
P3
48.4%
55.7%
OT
61.3%
60.8%
Final 5 min
47.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2014 | OT | 03:31 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Steve Ott |