Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.1% vs Ott 53.7% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 78.6%
Defensive zone
Ott 72.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Bjugstad
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Bjugstad
Ott
Last 7: Bjugstad 3-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
2
Bjugstad
Ott
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Bjugstad
Ott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Bjugstad
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (340)
58.2% (208)
-12.0%
Power Play
58.0% (50)
50.0% (4)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.5% (66)
-45.5%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Bjugstad shoots right. Ott is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Ott
Home
49.4% (237)
53.5% (101)
Away
44.8% (154)
55.9% (177)
By Period
Bjugstad
Ott
P1
46.4%
57.0%
P2
50.4%
57.7%
P3
45.6%
48.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.6%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |