Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Plekanec 49.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 68.1%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 74.3%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 61.6%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Bjugstad
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Bjugstad
Plekanec
Last 7: Bjugstad 6-1 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
0
Bjugstad
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (806)
50.8% (1,214)
-3.5%
Power Play
55.0% (149)
50.5% (190)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
59.0% (39)
41.8% (153)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Bjugstad shoots right. Plekanec is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Plekanec
Home
55.4% (446)
52.1% (760)
Away
43.6% (548)
47.8% (797)
By Period
Bjugstad
Plekanec
P1
49.4%
51.3%
P2
48.1%
47.2%
P3
48.6%
51.9%
OT
61.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 30, 2014 | OT | 00:30 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |