Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Bjugstad wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Zajac 54.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 18-4 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 84.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 85.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 89.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Bjugstad
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
18
(22 meetings)
4
18
Bjugstad
Zajac
Last 10: Bjugstad 1-9 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
7
Bjugstad
Zajac
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Bjugstad
Zajac
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
8
Bjugstad
Zajac
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (937)
55.7% (1,020)
-7.4%
Power Play
56.1% (148)
52.7% (201)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (38)
50.3% (173)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Bjugstad is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (359).
Bjugstad shoots right. Zajac is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Zajac
Home
50.5% (574)
54.9% (685)
Away
47.2% (549)
54.3% (709)
By Period
Bjugstad
Zajac
P1
52.4%
54.6%
P2
46.8%
55.5%
P3
45.5%
54.2%
OT
78.3%
48.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 07:31 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |