Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Fiddler 51.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Fiddler 56.6%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 90.1%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 75.0%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Bjugstad
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Bjugstad
Fiddler
Last 10: Bjugstad 8-2 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
4
0
Bjugstad
Fiddler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Fiddler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
5
3
Bjugstad
Fiddler
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (806)
51.8% (819)
-4.5%
Power Play
55.0% (149)
37.9% (29)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
59.0% (39)
53.8% (249)
+5.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Bjugstad shoots right. Fiddler is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Fiddler
Home
55.4% (446)
51.1% (546)
Away
43.6% (548)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Bjugstad
Fiddler
P1
49.4%
51.3%
P2
48.1%
53.7%
P3
48.6%
51.3%
OT
61.1%
22.2%
Final 5 min
48.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |