Nick Bjugstad vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.9% vs Girgensons 42.9% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 60.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 71.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 67.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Bjugstad
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bjugstad
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (212)
36.2% (94)
+14.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
41.2% (17)
+2.9%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Bjugstad shoots right. Girgensons is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Girgensons
Home
52.3% (151)
38.0% (50)
Away
46.0% (100)
35.5% (62)
By Period
Bjugstad
Girgensons
P1
44.9%
43.2%
P2
56.8%
34.3%
P3
48.3%
32.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.8%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |