Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.6% vs Bonino 51.6% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 86.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 78.0%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 57.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Galchenyuk
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Galchenyuk
Bonino
Last 6: Galchenyuk 2-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
0
Galchenyuk
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Galchenyuk
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Galchenyuk
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (314)
52.6% (836)
-4.5%
Power Play
39.8% (93)
51.8% (110)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
47.8% (186)
-47.8%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Bonino is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Bonino
Home
50.9% (214)
50.8% (547)
Away
40.1% (197)
52.6% (585)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Bonino
P1
44.8%
56.2%
P2
45.7%
48.9%
P3
46.3%
50.9%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |