Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.3% vs Bonino 52.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 63.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 57.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Goodrow
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Goodrow
Bonino
Last 6: Goodrow 4-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
0
Goodrow
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Goodrow
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (535)
52.0% (717)
+0.3%
Power Play
36.4% (55)
62.7% (67)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (209)
50.7% (144)
-6.2%
On power play, Bonino has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Goodrow is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Goodrow shoots left. Bonino is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Bonino
Home
52.9% (361)
54.8% (429)
Away
46.1% (438)
50.7% (499)
By Period
Goodrow
Bonino
P1
48.4%
53.5%
P2
48.1%
49.5%
P3
51.1%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |