Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.4% vs 43.0%). Look for Jones on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jones wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 44.3% vs Bonino 44.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 58.0%
Defensive zone
Jones 51.8%
Neutral zone
Jones 51.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Jones
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Jones
Bonino
Last 10: Jones 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jones
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jones
3
1
Jones
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Jones
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (243)
43.3% (423)
-0.5%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
45.5% (22)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
20.0% (5)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Jones has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Jones is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Jones shoots right. Bonino is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Jones
Bonino
Home
48.3% (149)
44.1% (222)
Away
36.6% (153)
41.8% (232)
By Period
Jones
Bonino
P1
42.6%
43.9%
P2
48.3%
43.4%
P3
38.3%
41.6%
OT
28.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Blair Jones |