Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 47.9% vs Bonino 48.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 67.9%
Defensive zone
Sutter 67.4%
Neutral zone
Sutter 55.0%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Sutter
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Sutter
Bonino
Last 7: Sutter 5-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Sutter
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (863)
49.6% (837)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.0% (72)
50.7% (223)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (215)
41.0% (134)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Sutter is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Sutter shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Sutter
Bonino
Home
48.5% (542)
50.7% (564)
Away
47.0% (608)
47.1% (630)
By Period
Sutter
Bonino
P1
49.2%
44.9%
P2
49.4%
50.1%
P3
44.6%
50.9%
OT
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |