Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Bonino 50.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 25-14 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 60.0%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 61.1%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 61.2%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Soderberg
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
25
(39 meetings)
14
25
Soderberg
Bonino
Last 10: Soderberg 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
12
Soderberg
Bonino
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
6
Soderberg
Bonino
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
7
Soderberg
Bonino
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
50.6% (8,315)
-2.3%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
54.1% (972)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
44.6% (1,693)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Soderberg shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Bonino
Home
50.2% (2,703)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Soderberg
Bonino
P1
47.4%
50.6%
P2
48.2%
48.5%
P3
48.1%
51.1%
OT
46.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |