Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCormick on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 46.6% vs Bonino 48.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 75.4%
Defensive zone
McCormick 51.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 65.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
McCormick
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McCormick
Bonino
Last 6: McCormick 5-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
4
1
McCormick
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCormick
1
0
McCormick
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (168)
49.6% (837)
-3.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.7% (223)
-50.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (29)
41.0% (134)
+0.4%
On power play, Bonino has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. McCormick is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (128).
McCormick shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
McCormick
Bonino
Home
44.7% (114)
50.7% (564)
Away
45.2% (84)
47.1% (630)
By Period
McCormick
Bonino
P1
46.9%
44.9%
P2
38.6%
50.1%
P3
50.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
39.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
44.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |