Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Bonino 47.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 72.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 72.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Roy
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Roy
Bonino
Last 10: Roy 8-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
0
Roy
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
3
Roy
Bonino
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
48.2% (926)
-3.4%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
48.6% (109)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
43.3% (210)
-0.4%
On power play, Bonino has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Roy shoots left. Bonino is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Roy
Bonino
Home
45.8% (421)
47.8% (653)
Away
43.9% (488)
47.0% (592)
By Period
Roy
Bonino
P1
44.9%
45.9%
P2
43.6%
47.0%
P3
46.4%
49.4%
OT
35.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | OT | 00:50 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Derek Roy |