Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Bonino 51.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 89.2%
Defensive zone
Cozens 67.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 73.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Cozens
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Cozens
Bonino
Last 7: Cozens 1-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Cozens
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Cozens
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Cozens
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
51.7% (777)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
60.0% (50)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
43.9% (98)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Cozens
Bonino
Home
43.9% (410)
48.2% (461)
Away
47.2% (430)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Cozens
Bonino
P1
46.4%
54.1%
P2
41.6%
49.7%
P3
49.4%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |