Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 44.0% vs Bonino 53.9% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 50.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 88.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 71.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Rodrigues
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rodrigues
Bonino
Last 5: Rodrigues 3-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
0
Rodrigues
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Rodrigues
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Rodrigues
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (338)
56.4% (771)
-15.0%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
60.0% (30)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
43.8% (169)
+6.2%
On even strength, Bonino has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Rodrigues is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Rodrigues shoots right. Bonino is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Bonino
Home
40.9% (159)
56.5% (531)
Away
43.5% (209)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Rodrigues
Bonino
P1
47.8%
56.7%
P2
37.6%
48.1%
P3
42.1%
58.0%
OT
0.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
44.8%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
42.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |