Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Bonino 51.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 63.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 82.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 70.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Rodrigues
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Rodrigues
Bonino
Last 8: Rodrigues 5-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
0
Rodrigues
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Rodrigues
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Rodrigues
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
51.7% (777)
-4.5%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
60.0% (50)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
43.9% (98)
-1.6%
On power play, Bonino has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Bonino
Home
49.8% (215)
48.2% (461)
Away
44.4% (171)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Rodrigues
Bonino
P1
44.2%
54.1%
P2
53.5%
49.7%
P3
44.6%
50.7%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |