Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheppard on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sheppard wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 46.5% vs Bonino 48.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 51.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 61.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 58.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Sheppard
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sheppard
Bonino
Last 5: Sheppard 3-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheppard
1
0
Sheppard
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Sheppard
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheppard
2
1
Sheppard
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (221)
49.6% (837)
-5.3%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
50.7% (223)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.0% (134)
-41.0%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Sheppard is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Sheppard shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Bonino
Home
47.6% (147)
50.7% (564)
Away
40.7% (86)
47.1% (630)
By Period
Sheppard
Bonino
P1
42.9%
44.9%
P2
40.3%
50.1%
P3
51.9%
50.9%
Final 5 min
44.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2014 | 2 | 14:46 | Neutral | James Sheppard |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | James Sheppard |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | James Sheppard |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |