Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 24 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Bonino 50.0% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 32-21 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 81.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 53.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 71.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Beagle
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
32
(53 meetings)
21
32
Beagle
Bonino
Last 10: Beagle 2-8 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
19
Beagle
Bonino
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
10
4
Beagle
Bonino
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
6
9
Beagle
Bonino
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
50.6% (8,315)
+6.9%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
54.1% (972)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
44.6% (1,693)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Beagle
Bonino
Home
59.1% (3,228)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Beagle
Bonino
P1
57.4%
50.6%
P2
57.1%
48.5%
P3
56.2%
51.1%
OT
41.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
56.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |