Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McClement wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 53.4% vs Bonino 48.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 83.4%
Defensive zone
McClement 61.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 64.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
McClement
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McClement
Bonino
Last 7: McClement 2-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
4
McClement
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
1
McClement
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (927)
49.6% (837)
+6.1%
Power Play
75.0% (12)
50.7% (223)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (321)
41.0% (134)
+6.0%
On power play, McClement has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. McClement is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (811).
McClement shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
McClement
Bonino
Home
55.9% (571)
50.7% (564)
Away
51.8% (689)
47.1% (630)
By Period
McClement
Bonino
P1
55.8%
44.9%
P2
52.3%
50.1%
P3
53.3%
50.9%
OT
52.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
53.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Jay McClement |