Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.8% vs Bonino 47.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 75.8%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 72.4%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 75.5%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Mitchell
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mitchell
Bonino
Last 5: Mitchell 4-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
1
Mitchell
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (666)
48.2% (926)
+3.0%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
48.6% (109)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (47)
43.3% (210)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Mitchell shoots left. Bonino is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Bonino
Home
51.7% (360)
47.8% (653)
Away
50.1% (375)
47.0% (592)
By Period
Mitchell
Bonino
P1
50.2%
45.9%
P2
49.4%
47.0%
P3
51.9%
49.4%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | John Mitchell |