Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 49.0% vs Bonino 50.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 62.9%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 62.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.1%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Mitchell
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mitchell
Bonino
Last 5: Mitchell 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Mitchell
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Mitchell
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (676)
50.2% (691)
+2.3%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
61.5% (78)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (155)
45.6% (149)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Mitchell is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Mitchell shoots left. Bonino is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Bonino
Home
52.2% (450)
52.7% (467)
Away
45.1% (399)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Mitchell
Bonino
P1
51.2%
48.9%
P2
50.2%
50.2%
P3
44.8%
51.7%
OT
80.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2015 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |