Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Chipchura wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 51.5% vs Bonino 47.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Chipchura leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Chipchura 62.6%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 84.8%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 74.7%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Chipchura
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Chipchura
Bonino
Last 10: Chipchura 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
5
1
Chipchura
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
3
Chipchura
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
3
1
Chipchura
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (790)
48.2% (926)
+4.6%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
48.6% (109)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
43.3% (210)
+2.6%
On power play, Bonino has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Chipchura is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Chipchura shoots left. Bonino is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Bonino
Home
52.5% (465)
47.8% (653)
Away
50.8% (451)
47.0% (592)
By Period
Chipchura
Bonino
P1
53.6%
45.9%
P2
50.9%
47.0%
P3
50.0%
49.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 5, 2015 | OT | 04:46 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |