Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 51.5% vs Bonino 50.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 64.5%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 57.8%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 67.5%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Chipchura
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Chipchura
Bonino
Last 6: Chipchura 5-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chipchura
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
4
0
Chipchura
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (143)
50.2% (691)
+2.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
61.5% (78)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
45.6% (149)
+4.4%
On power play, Bonino has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Chipchura is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Chipchura shoots left. Bonino is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Bonino
Home
52.7% (55)
52.7% (467)
Away
52.2% (113)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Chipchura
Bonino
P1
57.4%
48.9%
P2
47.0%
50.2%
P3
54.2%
51.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
52.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2016 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |