Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 52.6%). Look for Okposo on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Okposo wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 51.5% vs Bonino 52.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 78.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 87.0%
Neutral zone
Okposo 50.3%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Okposo
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Okposo
Bonino
Last 5: Okposo 3-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
3
0
Okposo
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Okposo
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (55)
52.0% (717)
+2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
62.7% (67)
-12.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Okposo is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Okposo shoots right. Bonino is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Okposo
Bonino
Home
51.5% (33)
54.8% (429)
Away
55.3% (38)
50.7% (499)
By Period
Okposo
Bonino
P1
70.0%
53.5%
P2
54.5%
49.5%
P3
33.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
55.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |