Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 47.1% vs Bonino 50.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 62.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 87.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 71.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Johansson
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Johansson
Bonino
Last 6: Johansson 5-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
0
Johansson
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
0
Johansson
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
1
Johansson
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (272)
50.2% (691)
-4.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
61.5% (78)
+38.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
45.6% (149)
-20.6%
On power play, Johansson has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Johansson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Johansson shoots left. Bonino is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Johansson
Bonino
Home
47.7% (130)
52.7% (467)
Away
44.6% (148)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Johansson
Bonino
P1
46.7%
48.9%
P2
50.0%
50.2%
P3
44.3%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
46.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |