Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Arcobello wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 53.2% vs Bonino 50.4% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Arcobello leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Arcobello 87.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 55.6%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 64.2%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Arcobello
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Arcobello
Bonino
Last 10: Arcobello 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
4
0
Arcobello
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Arcobello
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
2
1
Arcobello
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (196)
50.2% (691)
+0.3%
Power Play
70.0% (40)
61.5% (78)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
83.3% (6)
45.6% (149)
+37.7%
On penalty kill, Arcobello has a +37.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Arcobello is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Arcobello shoots right. Bonino is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Bonino
Home
57.1% (84)
52.7% (467)
Away
53.2% (158)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Arcobello
Bonino
P1
59.7%
48.9%
P2
52.3%
50.2%
P3
51.9%
51.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |