Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.0%). Look for Arcobello on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.9% vs Bonino 50.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Arcobello leads 30-20 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Arcobello 84.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 62.6%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 53.0%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Arcobello
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
20
(50 meetings)
30
20
Arcobello
Bonino
Last 10: Arcobello 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
14
6
Arcobello
Bonino
20 total
Defensive Zone
Even
8
8
Arcobello
Bonino
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
8
6
Arcobello
Bonino
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,408)
50.6% (8,315)
+0.0%
Power Play
60.8% (130)
54.1% (972)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
44.6% (1,693)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Arcobello shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Bonino
Home
53.2% (745)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
48.9% (850)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Arcobello
Bonino
P1
53.2%
50.6%
P2
51.3%
48.5%
P3
48.4%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |